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Efficient, Effective and Accountable Government

Last Updated: 07/16/2026

Provide data, information, and analysis to support decision-making

Strategy: Provide data, information, and analysis to support decision-making

Agency: 101 - Caseload Forecast Council

A001 - Caseload Forecasting

The Caseload Forecast Council prepares November, February and June caseload forecasts of entitlement programs including: public assistance, state correctional institutions, state correctional non institutional supervision, state institutions for juvenile offenders, the common school system, the College Bound Scholarship Program, long term care, medical assistance, foster care, and adoption support.

Account	FY 2026	FY 2027	Biennium Total

FTE	9.2	9.2	9.2
001 - General Fund
State	1,389,000	1,374,000	2,763,000
24J - Workforce Education Investment Acc
State	182,000	185,000	367,000

	FY 2026	FY 2027	Biennium Total
FTES	9.2	9.2	9.2
GFS	1,389,000.0	1,374,000.0	2,763,000.0
Other	182,000.0	185,000.0	367,000.0
Totals	1,571,000.0	1,559,000.0	3,130,000.0

View Additional Data

000497 - Reported caseload values for the K-12 Basic Education Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council Forecast from reported caseload values for the K-12 Basic Education Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	0%	3%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	0%	7%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	0%	13%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000513 - Reported Caseload Values for the Adult Inmate Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Adult Inmate Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	6%	9%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	1%	6%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	2%	1%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000529 - Report caseload values for the Nursing Homes Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Nursing Homes Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	6%	9%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	9%	10%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	1%	3%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000531 - Reported caseload values for the Home and Community Services Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Home and Community Services Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	1%	0%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	2%	1%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	3%	4%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000533 - Reported caseload values for the K-12 Special Education Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the K-12 Special Education Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	1%	14%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	1%	15%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	1%	10%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000538 - Reported caseload values for the K-12 Bilingual Education Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the K-12 Bilingual Education Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	1%	1%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	3%	1%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	0%	11%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000563 - Reported caseload values for the Adoption Support Maintenance Payment Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Adoption Support Maintenance Payment Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	1%	2%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	1%	3%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	0%	1%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000595 - Variance of Nov CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for the Licensed Foster Care Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Total Unduplicated Foster Care Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	4%	1%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	5%	1%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	2%	8%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000607 - Reporting caseload values for the Juvenile Rehabilitation Administration Residential Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Juvenile Rehabilitation Administration Residential Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	16%	7%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	8%	10%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	2%	9%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000632 - Reported caseload values for the Running Start Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Running Start Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	4%	5%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	2%	25%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	6%	100%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

000668 - Variance of Nov CFC Forecast from Reported CL Values Community Contact Required Supervision Program

Variance of the November Caseload Forecast Council forecast from reported caseload values for the Community Supervision Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	10%	20%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	2%	12%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	2%	5%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002589 - Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for College Bound Scholarship Program

Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for College Bound Scholarship Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	10%	9%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	1%	16%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	10%	19%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002590 - Variance of the November CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for the DOC Violator Program

Variance of the November CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for the DOC Violator Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	79%	11%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	106%	124%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	7%	3%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002591 - Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for the Extended Foster Care Program

Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for the Extended Foster Care Program.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	10%	9%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	3%	21%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	3%	5%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002592 - Variance of the November CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Total Medicaid Personal Care

Variance of the November CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Total Medicaid Personal Care.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	2%	1%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	5%	2%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	1%	3%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002593 - Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Total Adult Caregivers and Children

Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Total Adult Caregivers and Children.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	1%	6%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	3%	0%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	2%	11%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002594 - Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for ACA New and Transitional Eligibles

Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for ACA New and Transitional Eligibles.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	4%	16%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	7%	1%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	5%	32%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

002595 - Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Aged, Disabled, and Other Medical

Variance of Nov. CFC Forecast from Reported Caseload Values for Aged, Disabled, and Other Medical.

Biennium	Period	Actual	Target
2021-23	Q1	0%	0%
2021-23	Q2	2%	3%
2021-23	Q3	0%	0%
2021-23	Q4	0%	0%
2021-23	Q5	0%	0%
2021-23	Q6	1%	0%
2021-23	Q7	0%	0%
2021-23	Q8	0%	0%
2023-25	Q1	0%	0%
2023-25	Q2	0%	0%
2023-25	Q3	0%	0%
2023-25	Q4	0%	0%
2023-25	Q5	0%	0%
2023-25	Q6	1%	7%
2023-25	Q7	0%	0%
2023-25	Q8	0%	0%

A002 - Sentencing Data Maintenance and Research

The Caseload Forecast Council publishes adult felony and juvenile offender sentencing manuals; maintains computerized adult and juvenile sentencing databases on all adult felony sentences and juvenile dispositions; and publishes statistical summaries and ad hoc analyses of adult and juvenile sentencing.

Account	FY 2026	FY 2027	Biennium Total

FTE	7.0	7.0	7.0
001 - General Fund
State	1,006,000	995,000	2,001,000

	FY 2026	FY 2027	Biennium Total
FTES	7.0	7.0	7.0
GFS	1,006,000.0	995,000.0	2,001,000.0
Other
Totals	1,006,000.0	995,000.0	2,001,000.0