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May economic report: Job cuts ahead in transportation, telecom, health care, and distribution industries

May 28, 2025

The May economic snapshot is now available:

This is a report produced by the Office of Financial Management’s Forecasting and Research Division. 

    Here are some key highlights from this month's report:

    • Revenue beats expectations: April General Fund-State revenue collections came in $41.7M above forecast, though year-to-date collections remain slightly below expectations.
    • Seattle inflation slows: Seattle’s consumer price inflation rose 1.7% YoY (Year-over-Year), lower than the 2.3% U.S. average.
    • Trade and vehicle sales surge: Exports rose 3.7%, imports jumped 11.7% in March. Meanwhile, vehicle sales hit a post-2017 high, driven by a 15.2% YoY increase in registrations.
    • Job market cools, unemployment steady: Nonfarm employment rose by just 2,100 jobs month-to-month, while unemployment stayed at 4.4%. Initial claims dropped month-to-month but remain up year-over-year.
    • Housing weak, prices up: Only 32,500 housing units were permitted in Q1, missing forecasts. Moreover, Seattle home prices rose 4.9% YoY, slightly outpacing the national average.

    Check out the full report for more insights on Washington’s evolving economy.