Projected change in budget driver populations

2021-2023

Budget Driver	Projected Change	Budget Share*
Juvenile Rehabilitation (Ages 12-17)	2.1%	0.4%
Corrections (Males Ages 18-39)	0.5%	4.5%
Medical Assistance (General Population)	1.7%	10.8%
Long-Term Care (Ages 85+)	5.4%	5.7%
TANF (Ages 0-17)	0.2%	1.5%
Higher Education (Ages 17-29)	-0.9%	6.8%
K-12 Education (Ages 5-17)	1.0%	52.2%

Among the populations that receive a significant share of state government services, those 85 and above (Long Term Care) are projected to grow rapidly through the forecast period.